Output from uspest.org/wea disease degree-day/phenology model program:
Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================
Model species/general links: cougarblight 2010ez-fire blight [apple, pear]
Type: disease
Model source/other links: Smith and Pusey 2010
Calculation method: 4-day Temp. Risk Value
Lower threshold: 50 degrees Fahrenheit
Upper threshold: 110 degrees Fahrenheit
Directions for starting/BIOFIX: risk begins at first bloom Orchard Risk Levels: 1. No fire blight in your neighborhood last year 2. Fire blight occurred in your neighborhood last year 3. Fire blight is now active in your neighborhood
Starting/BIOFIX date: 1 1
No ending date, set to: default date 12 31
Model validation status: Validated & In Use - Contact Ken Johnson at johnsonk@science.oregonstate.edu
Region of known use: Pacific Northwest
==============================EVENTS TABLE================================
1. 0 4-day cum. temp. risk value: Risk level 1 & 2:Low risk; 3:Caution
2. 50 4-day cum. temp. risk value: Risk level 1:Low risk; 2:Caution, 3:High risk
3. 100 4-day cum. temp. risk value: Risk level 1:Caution; 2:High risk; 3:Extreme risk
4. 200 4-day cum. temp. risk value: Risk level 1:High risk; 2:Extreme risk; 3:Exceptional risk
5. 400 4-day cum. temp. risk value: Risk level 1:Extreme risk; 2 & 3:Exceptional Risk
==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================
Weather station: 2016 BCBEAR MEDFORD_BEAR_CREEK_GROWER_NETWORK BEAR CREEK (S MEDFORD) OR Lat:42.3000 Long:-122.8550 Elev:1443
mn day max min precip DH50 CUMDH50 event
-- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- -------
Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME 7-month 1910 BCBEAR PRISM_rev1_4km 2012-2021
cougarblight 2010ez-fire blight model - Smith and Pusey 2010 Location: 2016 BCBEAR BEAR CREEK (S Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME