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Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================
Model species/general links: w. cherry fruit fly v2 [cherry E. of Cascades]
Type: insect
Model source/other links: Jones et al 91,Song et al 2004
Calculation method: single sine
Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit
Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default)
Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date
Starting/BIOFIX date: 3 1
Ending date: 7 31
Model validation status: in general use, revised June 2011
Region of known use: dev. in UT (Cache Co.), WA (Chelan Co.), and Mid-Columbia OR
==============================EVENTS TABLE================================
1. 864 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - Hood River
2. 925 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - Mosier
3. 990 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - The Dalles
4. 1031 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - ID and Milton-Freewater
5. 1066 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - WA
6. 1664 DDs after biofix: 50% trap catch - all locations
7. 3049 DDs after biofix: Last trap catch - all locations
==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================
Weather station: 2016 MF23241 MILTON_FREEWATER_GROWERS Brown McClellan OR Lat45.9528 Long:-118.4678 Elev:843
mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event
-- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- -------
3 1 63.00 40.40 0.00 10.74 10.7 * START *
3 2 59.90 43.90 0.00 10.90 21.6
3 3 63.30 44.00 0.00 12.65 34.3
3 4 61.60 34.00 0.00 8.34 42.6
3 5 64.60 48.50 0.00 15.55 58.2
3 6 65.60 45.70 0.00 14.65 72.8
3 7 57.60 42.20 0.00 8.90 81.7
3 8 53.00 37.10 0.00 4.89 86.6
3 9 58.50 42.90 0.00 9.70 96.3
3 10 62.50 49.10 0.00 14.80 111.1
3 11 47.30 34.70 0.00 2.01 113.1
3 12 52.60 40.40 0.00 5.56 118.7
3 13 60.70 38.20 0.00 8.87 127.6
3 14 52.70 40.30 0.00 5.57 133.1
3 15 51.20 32.00 0.00 3.36 136.5
3 16 54.60 32.00 0.00 4.82 141.3
3 17 54.10 31.70 0.00 4.57 145.9
3 18 58.00 27.40 0.00 5.75 151.6
3 19 60.90 32.60 0.00 7.76 159.4
3 20 59.20 38.10 0.00 8.11 167.5
3 21 63.20 43.60 0.00 12.40 179.9
3 22 52.30 43.50 0.00 6.90 186.8
3 23 59.20 44.60 0.00 10.90 197.7
3 24 55.70 46.20 0.00 9.95 207.6
3 25 56.00 41.90 0.00 7.95 215.6
3 26 61.80 38.20 0.00 9.41 225.0
3 27 56.20 44.90 0.00 9.55 234.6
3 28 51.10 38.60 0.00 4.31 238.9 Vx
3 29 62.40 34.30 0.00 8.77 247.6
3 30 64.10 32.00 0.00 9.13 256.8
3 31 71.10 32.00 0.00 12.43 269.2
4 1 76.10 32.00 0.00 14.81 284.0
4 2 76.20 32.00 0.00 14.86 298.9
4 3 75.60 32.00 0.00 14.57 313.4
4 4 59.90 46.40 0.00 12.15 325.6
4 5 64.00 32.00 0.00 9.09 334.7
4 6 72.20 39.80 0.00 15.10 349.8
4 7 73.30 6.50 0.00 10.09 359.9
4 8 76.80 32.00 0.00 15.15 375.0
4 9 81.30 39.70 0.00 19.60 394.6 Hn
4 10 74.30 51.00 0.00 21.65 416.3 Vn
4 11 75.70 47.60 0.00 20.65 436.9 Vn
4 12 68.20 51.40 0.00 18.80 455.7 Vx Vn
4 13 65.10 45.20 0.00 14.15 469.9 Vx Vn
4 14 63.00 43.60 0.00 12.30 482.2 Vx Vn
4 15 66.80 45.60 0.00 15.20 497.4 Vx Vn
4 16 72.20 37.80 0.00 14.42 511.8 Vx Vn
4 17 77.90 38.50 0.00 17.47 529.3 Vx Vn
4 18 80.80 42.20 0.00 20.50 549.8 Vx Vn
4 19 84.40 45.10 0.00 23.75 573.5 Vx Vn
4 20 86.70 43.80 0.00 24.25 597.8 Vx Vn
4 21 79.80 53.50 0.00 25.65 623.4 Vx Vn
4 22 78.00 54.20 0.00 25.10 648.5 Vx Vn
4 23 71.20 53.20 0.00 21.20 669.7 Vx Vn
4 24 67.00 48.10 0.00 16.55 686.3 Vx Vn
4 25 65.90 41.90 0.00 12.90 699.2 Vx Vn
4 26 67.00 42.40 0.00 13.70 712.9 Vx Vn
4 27 62.00 49.20 0.00 14.60 727.5 Vx Vn
4 28 72.10 50.00 0.00 20.05 747.5 Vx Vn
4 29 57.90 50.70 0.00 13.30 760.8 Vx Vn
4 30 68.80 48.30 0.00 17.55 778.4 Vx Vn
5 1 78.50 40.50 0.00 18.52 796.9 Vx Vn
5 2 85.10 32.00 0.00 19.15 816.0 Vx
5 3 68.30 9.00 0.00 8.29 824.3 Hx
5 4 68.60 43.40 0.00 15.00 839.3 Hx Hn
5 5 68.90 43.70 0.00 15.30 854.6 Hx Hn
5 6 77.10 53.20 0.00 24.15 878.8 First trap catch - Hood River
5 7 82.00 53.00 0.00 26.50 905.3
5 8 75.40 60.40 0.00 26.90 932.2 First trap catch - Mosier
5 9 64.00 47.10 0.00 14.55 946.7
5 10 72.90 40.00 0.00 15.52 962.2 Vx
5 11 81.20 45.40 0.00 22.30 984.5 Vx Vn
5 12 83.90 61.30 0.00 31.60 1016.1 First trap catch - The Dalles
5 13 83.00 32.00 0.00 18.13 1034.3 First trap catch - ID and Milton-Freewater
5 14 68.20 52.60 0.00 19.40 1053.7
5 15 58.50 51.80 0.00 14.15 1067.8 First trap catch - WA
5 16 72.90 32.00 0.00 13.28 1081.1
5 17 78.40 49.20 0.00 22.80 1103.9
5 18 81.50 32.00 0.00 17.41 1121.3
5 19 66.00 47.90 0.00 15.95 1137.3
5 20 62.00 43.10 0.00 11.55 1148.8
5 21 64.90 47.00 0.00 14.95 1163.8
5 22 67.80 52.80 0.00 19.30 1183.1
5 23 70.40 50.00 0.00 19.20 1202.3 Vx
5 24 75.40 53.10 0.00 23.25 1225.5
5 25 79.80 52.80 0.00 25.30 1250.8
5 26 72.40 54.50 0.00 22.45 1273.3
5 27 67.80 50.00 0.00 17.90 1291.2
5 28 74.40 47.40 0.00 19.90 1311.1
5 29 77.00 55.10 0.00 25.05 1336.1
5 30 76.60 49.30 0.00 21.95 1358.1
5 31 84.20 45.40 0.00 23.80 1381.9
6 1 82.70 52.00 0.00 26.35 1408.2
6 2 76.10 64.00 0.00 29.05 1437.3
6 3 87.20 56.80 0.00 31.00 1468.3
6 4 94.10 52.90 0.00 32.50 1500.8
6 5 93.70 57.30 0.00 34.50 1535.3
6 6 99.90 32.00 0.00 26.36 1561.6 Vx
6 7 95.30 66.00 0.00 39.65 1601.3
6 8 83.60 65.80 0.00 33.70 1635.0
6 9 77.50 58.90 0.00 27.20 1662.2
6 10 67.00 53.20 0.00 19.10 1681.3 50% trap catch - all locations
6 11 71.60 21.20 0.00 10.91 1692.2
6 12 77.50 47.50 0.00 21.50 1713.7
6 13 72.50 53.70 0.00 22.10 1735.8
6 14 68.70 50.90 0.00 18.80 1754.6
6 15 65.70 46.60 0.00 15.15 1769.7
6 16 69.00 47.60 0.00 17.30 1787.0
6 17 77.90 32.00 0.00 15.68 1802.7
6 18 67.20 55.00 0.00 20.10 1822.8
6 19 73.90 45.50 0.00 18.70 1841.5
6 20 81.90 48.80 0.00 24.35 1865.9 Vx
6 21 80.80 58.70 0.00 28.75 1894.6
6 22 85.40 48.90 0.00 26.15 1920.8 Vx Vn
6 23 81.70 62.40 0.00 31.05 1951.8 Vx Vn
6 24 73.00 54.50 0.00 22.75 1974.6 Vx Vn
6 25 81.60 52.20 0.00 25.90 2000.5 Vx Vn
6 26 91.00 52.20 0.00 30.60 2031.1 Vx Vn
6 27 93.20 61.00 0.00 36.10 2067.2 Vx Vn
6 28 94.90 67.70 0.00 40.30 2107.5 Vx Vn
6 29 94.30 64.70 0.00 38.50 2146.0 Vx Vn
6 30 90.50 65.60 0.00 37.05 2183.0 Vx Vn
7 1 89.00 63.50 0.00 35.25 2218.3 Vx Vn
7 2 89.80 62.60 0.00 35.20 2253.5 Vx Vn
7 3 85.60 64.90 0.00 34.25 2287.7 Vx Vn
7 4 80.50 57.70 0.00 28.10 2315.8 Vx Vn
7 5 78.50 55.80 0.00 26.15 2342.0 Vx Vn
7 6 80.70 59.40 0.00 29.05 2371.0 Vx Vn
7 7 81.70 60.70 0.00 30.20 2401.2 Vx Vn
7 8 77.60 61.30 0.00 28.45 2429.7 Vx Vn
7 9 77.90 58.70 0.00 27.30 2457.0 Vx Vn
7 10 70.30 59.40 0.00 23.85 2480.8 Vx Vn
7 11 81.00 59.30 0.00 29.15 2510.0 Vx Vn
7 12 80.00 59.90 0.00 28.95 2538.9 Vx Vn
7 13 83.30 56.20 0.00 28.75 2567.7 Vx Vn
7 14 90.00 58.00 0.00 33.00 2600.7 Vx Vn
7 15 81.50 57.40 0.00 28.45 2629.1 Vx Vn
7 16 83.60 59.10 0.00 30.35 2659.5 Vx Vn
7 17 88.70 56.60 0.00 31.65 2691.1 Vx Vn
7 18 80.80 61.50 0.00 30.15 2721.3 Vx Vn
7 19 79.60 60.00 0.00 28.80 2750.1 Vx Vn
7 20 87.70 60.20 0.00 32.95 2783.0 Vx Vn
7 21 95.00 55.70 0.00 34.35 2817.4 Vx Vn
7 22 82.70 64.20 0.00 32.45 2849.8 Vx Vn
7 23 84.40 59.40 0.00 30.90 2880.7 Vx Vn
7 24 90.00 53.40 0.00 30.70 2911.4 Vx Vn
7 25 96.40 58.60 0.00 36.50 2947.9 Vx Vn
7 26 96.10 72.30 0.00 43.20 2991.1 Vx Vn
7 27 95.50 69.60 0.00 41.55 3032.7 Vx Vn
7 28 99.30 69.20 0.00 43.25 3075.9 Vx Vn Last trap catch - all locations
7 29 101.90 70.70 0.00 45.30 3121.2 Vx Vn
7 30 94.70 72.40 0.00 42.55 3163.8 Vx Vn
7 31 87.10 62.60 0.00 33.85 3197.6 Vx Vn
Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME 7-month 1910 MF23241 PRISM_rev1_4km 2012-2021
w. cherry fruit fly v2 model - Jones et al 91Location: 2016 MF23241 Brown McClellan OR Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME | Date | DDs | Event |
| 5-6-16 | 879 | First trap catch - Hood River |
| 5-8-16 | 932 | First trap catch - Mosier |
| 5-12-16 | 1016 | First trap catch - The Dalles |
| 5-13-16 | 1034 | First trap catch - ID and Milton-Freewater |
| 5-15-16 | 1068 | First trap catch - WA |
| 6-10-16 | 1681 | 50% trap catch - all locations |
| 7-28-16 | 3076 | Last trap catch - all locations |
![degree-day graph of w. cherry fruit fly v2 [cherry E. of Cascades] Jones et al 91](/cgi-bin/ddplotj.pl?2523693)
