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Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================
Model species/general links: w. cherry fruit fly v2 [cherry E. of Cascades]
Type: insect
Model source/other links: Jones et al 91,Song et al 2004
Calculation method: single sine
Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit
Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default)
Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date
Starting/BIOFIX date: 3 1
Ending date: 7 31
Model validation status: in general use, revised June 2011
Region of known use: dev. in UT (Cache Co.), WA (Chelan Co.), and Mid-Columbia OR
==============================EVENTS TABLE================================
1. 864 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - Hood River
2. 925 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - Mosier
3. 990 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - The Dalles
4. 1031 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - ID and Milton-Freewater
5. 1066 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - WA
6. 1664 DDs after biofix: 50% trap catch - all locations
7. 3049 DDs after biofix: Last trap catch - all locations
==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================
Weather station: 2016 MF23325 MILTON_FREEWATER_GROWERS Brown Bixby OR Lat45.9681 Long:-118.4325 Elev:846
mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event
-- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- -------
3 1 64.80 39.70 0.03 11.38 11.4 * START *
3 2 62.30 43.60 0.00 11.95 23.3
3 3 65.70 44.40 0.04 14.05 37.4
3 4 64.10 32.60 0.00 9.24 46.6
3 5 65.50 49.20 0.00 16.35 63.0
3 6 66.90 47.00 0.03 15.95 78.9
3 7 56.60 43.00 0.00 8.80 87.7
3 8 54.50 36.60 0.00 5.50 93.2
3 9 59.30 43.20 0.00 10.25 103.5
3 10 63.90 48.90 0.02 15.40 118.9
3 11 48.30 33.50 0.02 2.31 121.2
3 12 51.80 39.60 0.01 4.90 126.1
3 13 61.30 36.10 0.02 8.64 134.7
3 14 54.40 39.70 0.00 6.22 140.9
3 15 52.20 39.90 0.00 5.19 146.1
3 16 56.40 37.40 0.00 6.58 152.7
3 17 53.90 31.70 0.00 4.48 157.2
3 18 59.20 25.10 0.00 6.01 163.2
3 19 62.90 32.40 0.00 8.65 171.8
3 20 61.80 36.10 0.07 8.88 180.7
3 21 64.80 40.90 0.11 11.85 192.6
3 22 53.00 43.70 0.07 7.35 199.9
3 23 61.00 46.00 0.00 12.50 212.4
3 24 57.00 47.70 0.00 11.35 223.8
3 25 57.00 42.90 0.00 8.95 232.7
3 26 63.50 40.00 0.00 10.84 243.6
3 27 57.60 45.50 0.00 10.55 254.1
3 28 51.40 39.50 0.00 4.68 258.8 Vx
3 29 63.90 34.10 0.00 9.44 268.2
3 30 65.20 32.00 0.00 9.65 277.9
3 31 72.20 46.40 0.00 18.30 296.2
4 1 77.70 40.80 0.00 18.26 314.4
4 2 77.00 47.10 0.00 21.05 335.5
4 3 76.90 49.90 0.00 22.40 357.9
4 4 60.30 47.30 0.05 12.80 370.7
4 5 66.00 43.30 0.00 13.65 384.3
4 6 74.90 36.70 0.00 15.42 399.8
4 7 73.00 36.40 0.00 14.40 414.2
4 8 80.00 43.40 0.00 20.70 434.9
4 9 83.40 54.60 0.00 28.00 462.9
4 10 75.20 48.60 0.00 20.90 483.8
4 11 78.10 45.10 0.00 20.60 504.4
4 12 68.50 51.20 0.02 18.85 523.2
4 13 65.30 48.30 0.01 15.80 539.0
4 14 62.50 42.60 0.02 11.55 550.6
4 15 67.70 45.90 0.00 15.80 566.4
4 16 72.70 36.70 0.00 14.34 580.7
4 17 78.00 36.80 0.00 16.97 597.7
4 18 81.30 38.40 0.00 19.12 616.8
4 19 84.70 41.50 0.00 22.10 638.9
4 20 87.10 41.90 0.00 23.50 662.4
4 21 79.30 51.50 0.00 24.40 686.8
4 22 77.50 52.50 0.00 24.00 710.8
4 23 71.50 53.30 0.00 21.40 732.2
4 24 66.80 50.90 0.00 17.85 750.0
4 25 67.00 40.30 0.00 12.70 762.7
4 26 66.70 42.60 0.00 13.65 776.4
4 27 61.70 47.80 0.02 13.75 790.1
4 28 71.30 49.10 0.00 19.20 809.3
4 29 58.30 51.00 0.00 13.65 823.0
4 30 69.40 47.90 0.01 17.65 840.6
5 1 79.20 38.10 0.00 17.98 858.6
5 2 85.70 42.20 0.00 22.95 881.6 First trap catch - Hood River
5 3 89.70 53.70 0.00 30.70 912.3
5 4 80.10 57.00 0.09 27.55 939.8 First trap catch - Mosier
5 5 69.20 45.40 0.00 16.30 956.1 Hx Hn
5 6 77.30 51.40 0.00 23.35 979.5
5 7 84.40 51.50 0.00 26.95 1006.4 First trap catch - The Dalles
5 8 77.20 54.20 0.00 24.70 1031.1 First trap catch - ID and Milton-Freewater
5 9 65.00 46.30 0.00 14.65 1045.8
5 10 72.50 36.30 0.00 14.13 1059.9
5 11 81.10 46.00 0.00 22.55 1082.4 Vx Vn First trap catch - WA
5 12 85.80 63.10 0.00 33.45 1115.9
5 13 83.00 44.80 0.00 22.90 1138.8
5 14 67.70 52.90 0.10 19.30 1158.1
5 15 58.80 52.00 0.04 14.40 1172.5
5 16 75.00 52.30 0.03 22.65 1195.1
5 17 81.00 48.40 0.00 23.70 1218.8
5 18 83.00 57.30 0.00 29.15 1248.0
5 19 66.40 49.50 0.00 16.95 1264.9
5 20 63.10 43.30 0.00 12.20 1277.1
5 21 64.50 46.60 0.00 14.55 1291.7
5 22 69.00 53.30 0.00 20.15 1311.8
5 23 70.60 51.30 0.00 19.95 1331.8 Vx
5 24 74.70 51.50 0.00 22.10 1353.9
5 25 82.10 51.20 0.00 25.65 1379.5
5 26 71.70 53.80 0.00 21.75 1401.3
5 27 67.90 51.00 0.00 18.45 1419.7
5 28 74.00 48.70 0.00 20.35 1440.1
5 29 78.80 54.90 0.00 25.85 1465.9
5 30 78.40 46.70 0.00 21.55 1487.5
5 31 85.50 42.00 0.00 22.75 1510.2
6 1 83.00 49.90 0.00 25.45 1535.7
6 2 76.80 65.00 0.00 29.90 1565.6
6 3 86.60 56.80 0.00 30.70 1596.3
6 4 95.20 51.50 0.00 32.35 1628.6
6 5 94.90 54.10 0.00 33.50 1662.1
6 6 99.90 60.30 0.00 39.10 1701.2 Vx 50% trap catch - all locations
6 7 91.80 63.30 0.00 36.55 1737.8
6 8 85.60 67.30 0.00 35.45 1773.2
6 9 77.90 59.00 0.00 27.45 1800.7
6 10 68.70 53.80 0.00 20.25 1820.9
6 11 70.70 49.20 0.00 18.95 1839.9
6 12 76.80 46.50 0.00 20.65 1860.5
6 13 73.30 52.10 0.00 21.70 1882.2
6 14 70.40 51.70 0.00 20.05 1902.3
6 15 69.80 47.20 0.00 17.50 1919.8
6 16 72.00 45.90 0.00 17.95 1937.7
6 17 76.80 45.40 0.00 20.10 1957.8
6 18 68.80 55.50 0.00 21.15 1979.0
6 19 78.30 42.70 0.00 19.50 1998.5
6 20 81.60 47.60 0.00 23.60 2022.1 Vx
6 21 80.50 56.80 0.00 27.65 2049.7
6 22 85.00 47.40 0.00 25.20 2074.9
6 23 81.10 60.50 0.00 29.80 2104.7
6 24 70.70 54.10 0.01 21.40 2126.1
6 25 79.70 51.30 0.00 24.50 2150.6
6 26 86.20 48.60 0.00 26.40 2177.0
6 27 93.70 60.50 0.00 36.10 2213.1 Vx Vn
6 28 90.70 62.10 0.00 35.40 2248.5
6 29 94.60 60.40 0.00 36.50 2285.0 Vx
6 30 90.50 66.00 0.00 37.25 2322.3 Vx Vn
7 1 89.00 63.50 0.00 35.25 2357.5 Vx Vn
7 2 90.00 63.00 0.00 35.50 2393.0 Vx Vn
7 3 85.80 64.90 0.00 34.35 2427.4 Vx Vn
7 4 81.50 53.00 0.00 26.25 2453.6
7 5 79.30 53.20 0.00 25.25 2478.9
7 6 79.00 58.80 0.00 27.90 2506.8
7 7 81.70 54.50 0.00 27.10 2533.9 Vx
7 8 78.00 60.50 0.02 28.25 2562.1 Vx
7 9 77.00 57.70 0.00 26.35 2588.5
7 10 68.00 58.90 0.00 22.45 2610.9
7 11 81.00 59.60 0.00 29.30 2640.2 Vx
7 12 76.80 56.70 0.00 25.75 2666.0
7 13 83.50 58.10 0.00 29.80 2695.8 Vx
7 14 89.90 53.30 0.00 30.60 2726.4 Vx
7 15 81.60 55.80 0.00 27.70 2754.1 Vx
7 16 83.90 59.70 0.00 30.80 2784.9 Vx
7 17 88.30 54.60 0.00 30.45 2815.3 Vx
7 18 81.00 59.80 0.00 29.40 2844.7 Vx
7 19 79.50 59.70 0.00 28.60 2873.3 Vx
7 20 87.60 59.10 0.00 32.35 2905.7 Vx
7 21 95.30 54.60 0.00 33.95 2939.6 Vx
7 22 83.00 64.90 0.00 32.95 2972.6 Vx Vn
7 23 85.70 54.70 0.00 29.20 3001.8
7 24 90.30 52.40 0.00 30.35 3032.1 Vx
7 25 96.80 55.60 0.00 35.20 3067.3 Vx Last trap catch - all locations
7 26 96.00 72.60 0.00 43.30 3110.6 Vx Vn
7 27 96.00 65.50 0.00 39.75 3150.4
7 28 97.00 62.60 0.00 38.80 3189.2
7 29 101.90 63.30 0.00 41.60 3230.8 Vx
7 30 94.80 70.40 0.00 41.60 3272.4 Vx
7 31 87.10 65.00 0.00 35.05 3307.4 Vx
Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME 7-month 1910 MF23325 PRISM_rev1_4km 2012-2021
w. cherry fruit fly v2 model - Jones et al 91Location: 2016 MF23325 Brown Bixby OR Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME | Date | DDs | Event |
| 5-2-16 | 882 | First trap catch - Hood River |
| 5-4-16 | 940 | First trap catch - Mosier |
| 5-7-16 | 1006 | First trap catch - The Dalles |
| 5-8-16 | 1031 | First trap catch - ID and Milton-Freewater |
| 5-11-16 | 1082 | First trap catch - WA |
| 6-6-16 | 1701 | 50% trap catch - all locations |
| 7-25-16 | 3067 | Last trap catch - all locations |
![degree-day graph of w. cherry fruit fly v2 [cherry E. of Cascades] Jones et al 91](/cgi-bin/ddplotj.pl?4023210)
