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Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================
Model species/general links: w. cherry fruit fly v2 [cherry E. of Cascades]
Type: insect
Model source/other links: Jones et al 91,Song et al 2004
Calculation method: single sine
Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit
Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default)
Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date
Starting/BIOFIX date: 3 1
Ending date: 7 31
Model validation status: in general use, revised June 2011
Region of known use: dev. in UT (Cache Co.), WA (Chelan Co.), and Mid-Columbia OR
==============================EVENTS TABLE================================
1. 864 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - Hood River
2. 925 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - Mosier
3. 990 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - The Dalles
4. 1031 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - ID and Milton-Freewater
5. 1066 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - WA
6. 1664 DDs after biofix: 50% trap catch - all locations
7. 3049 DDs after biofix: Last trap catch - all locations
==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================
Weather station: 2016 MF24513 MILTON_FREEWATER_GROWERS Burkes Wondra OR Lat45.9542 Long:-118.4481 Elev:839
mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event
-- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- -------
3 1 64.40 40.70 0.00 11.56 11.6 * START *
3 2 65.30 41.90 0.00 12.60 24.2
3 3 68.20 43.10 0.00 14.65 38.8
3 4 70.00 33.50 0.00 12.22 51.0
3 5 65.50 48.50 0.00 16.00 67.0
3 6 65.70 47.50 0.00 15.60 82.6
3 7 58.50 42.30 0.00 9.40 92.0
3 8 59.00 36.70 0.00 7.67 99.7
3 9 58.70 42.90 0.00 9.80 109.5
3 10 63.60 49.00 0.00 15.30 124.8
3 11 48.50 35.20 0.00 2.56 127.4
3 12 50.30 40.20 0.00 4.35 131.7
3 13 60.50 37.20 0.00 8.51 140.2
3 14 55.50 39.10 0.00 6.58 146.8
3 15 53.00 39.70 0.00 5.52 152.3
3 16 64.30 39.00 0.00 10.89 163.2
3 17 65.60 33.30 0.00 10.09 173.3
3 18 66.10 27.90 0.00 9.38 182.7
3 19 71.40 34.20 0.00 13.06 195.7
3 20 65.60 37.90 0.00 11.19 206.9
3 21 65.00 42.60 0.00 12.80 219.7
3 22 52.70 43.50 0.00 7.10 226.8
3 23 60.90 45.30 0.00 12.10 238.9
3 24 55.40 47.00 0.00 10.20 249.1
3 25 56.10 43.10 0.00 8.60 257.7
3 26 62.90 40.40 0.00 10.69 268.4
3 27 56.60 48.40 0.00 11.50 279.9
3 28 51.50 39.40 0.00 4.70 284.6 Vx
3 29 63.00 35.30 0.00 9.27 293.9
3 30 64.50 35.10 0.00 9.95 303.8
3 31 71.10 44.80 0.00 16.95 320.8
4 1 76.20 44.00 0.00 19.10 339.9
4 2 75.50 51.20 0.00 22.35 362.2
4 3 75.20 48.90 0.00 21.05 383.3
4 4 59.40 47.70 0.00 12.55 395.8
4 5 60.50 43.80 0.00 11.15 407.0
4 6 71.70 39.20 0.00 14.63 421.6
4 7 74.00 38.30 0.00 15.47 437.1
4 8 77.10 44.80 0.00 19.95 457.0
4 9 80.80 57.10 0.00 27.95 485.0
4 10 73.20 50.80 0.00 21.00 506.0
4 11 75.70 47.70 0.00 20.70 526.7
4 12 66.40 51.80 0.00 18.10 544.8
4 13 64.00 48.30 0.00 15.15 559.9
4 14 62.60 44.80 0.00 12.70 572.6
4 15 64.60 45.70 0.00 14.15 586.8
4 16 70.10 39.50 0.00 13.94 600.7
4 17 75.20 39.30 0.00 16.41 617.1
4 18 79.00 39.90 0.00 18.53 635.7
4 19 81.80 45.00 0.00 22.40 658.1
4 20 84.80 44.20 0.00 23.50 681.6
4 21 79.00 55.60 0.00 26.30 707.9
4 22 76.80 55.60 0.00 25.20 733.1
4 23 70.50 53.30 0.00 20.90 754.0
4 24 66.40 51.90 0.00 18.15 772.1
4 25 64.90 43.20 0.00 13.05 785.2
4 26 66.00 45.80 0.00 14.90 800.1
4 27 60.80 50.10 0.00 14.45 814.5
4 28 70.50 51.50 0.00 20.00 834.5
4 29 59.00 52.00 0.00 14.50 849.0
4 30 68.50 48.80 0.00 17.65 866.7 First trap catch - Hood River
5 1 78.00 41.00 0.00 18.50 885.2
5 2 85.50 46.30 0.00 24.90 910.1
5 3 90.90 62.10 0.00 35.50 945.6 First trap catch - Mosier
5 4 79.70 59.00 0.00 28.35 973.9
5 5 69.20 44.90 0.00 16.05 990.0 Hx Hn
5 6 77.00 53.90 0.00 24.45 1014.4 First trap catch - The Dalles
5 7 82.90 53.50 0.00 27.20 1041.6 First trap catch - ID and Milton-Freewater
5 8 77.70 54.80 0.00 25.25 1066.9 First trap catch - WA
5 9 65.90 48.00 0.00 15.95 1082.8
5 10 72.90 41.60 0.00 16.25 1099.1 Vx
5 11 81.10 46.00 0.00 22.55 1121.6 Vx Vn
5 12 85.70 62.30 0.00 33.00 1154.6
5 13 82.70 46.20 0.00 23.45 1178.1
5 14 68.70 54.80 0.00 20.75 1198.8
5 15 59.30 53.50 0.00 15.40 1214.2
5 16 70.90 53.20 0.00 21.05 1235.3
5 17 78.30 49.90 0.00 23.10 1258.4
5 18 83.60 60.80 0.00 31.20 1289.6 Vx
5 19 67.40 49.50 0.00 17.45 1307.0
5 20 62.30 44.80 0.00 12.55 1319.6
5 21 64.50 47.60 0.00 15.05 1334.6
5 22 69.70 53.70 0.00 20.70 1355.3
5 23 70.70 51.40 0.00 20.05 1375.4 Vx
5 24 73.80 53.00 0.00 22.40 1397.8
5 25 78.10 53.00 0.00 24.55 1422.3
5 26 72.50 55.50 0.00 23.00 1445.3
5 27 68.30 51.40 0.00 18.85 1464.2
5 28 75.60 50.10 0.00 21.85 1486.0
5 29 79.70 55.80 0.00 26.75 1512.8
5 30 76.30 50.00 0.00 22.15 1534.9
5 31 85.40 45.60 0.00 24.50 1559.4
6 1 86.10 52.70 0.00 28.40 1587.8
6 2 78.90 65.60 0.00 31.25 1619.1
6 3 87.00 59.90 0.00 32.45 1651.5
6 4 94.30 53.20 0.00 32.75 1684.3 50% trap catch - all locations
6 5 95.80 55.60 0.00 34.70 1719.0
6 6 100.00 65.00 0.00 41.50 1760.5 Vx
6 7 100.00 68.10 0.00 43.05 1803.5
6 8 89.70 70.30 0.00 39.00 1842.5
6 9 81.00 61.00 0.00 30.00 1872.5
6 10 69.10 54.40 0.00 20.75 1893.3
6 11 72.20 51.20 0.00 20.70 1914.0
6 12 79.90 49.50 0.00 23.70 1937.7
6 13 77.10 56.60 0.00 25.85 1963.5
6 14 69.60 52.40 0.00 20.00 1983.5
6 15 68.60 48.30 0.00 17.45 2001.0
6 16 69.70 47.30 0.00 17.50 2018.5
6 17 79.10 47.00 0.00 22.05 2040.5
6 18 67.20 55.10 0.00 20.15 2060.7
6 19 78.20 45.00 0.00 20.60 2081.3
6 20 81.70 47.90 0.00 23.80 2105.1 Vx
6 21 79.70 58.10 0.00 27.90 2133.0
6 22 85.70 50.50 0.00 27.10 2160.1 Vx
6 23 80.10 62.30 0.00 30.20 2190.3
6 24 74.80 55.30 0.00 24.05 2214.3
6 25 81.50 53.50 0.00 26.50 2240.8 Vx
6 26 90.80 51.20 0.00 30.00 2270.8
6 27 93.20 58.30 0.00 34.75 2305.6 Vx
6 28 95.00 68.30 0.00 40.65 2346.2
6 29 94.40 64.90 0.00 38.65 2384.9 Vx Vn
6 30 90.50 65.60 0.00 37.05 2421.9 Vx Vn
7 1 89.00 63.50 0.00 35.25 2457.2 Vx Vn
7 2 89.80 62.80 0.00 35.30 2492.5 Vx Vn
7 3 85.60 65.00 0.00 34.30 2526.8 Vx Vn
7 4 80.50 57.70 0.00 28.10 2554.9 Vx Vn
7 5 80.30 58.40 0.00 28.35 2583.2
7 6 80.60 60.50 0.00 29.55 2612.8 Vx
7 7 81.70 60.70 0.00 30.20 2643.0 Vx Vn
7 8 77.60 61.10 0.00 28.35 2671.3 Vx
7 9 78.00 57.80 0.00 26.90 2698.2 Vx
7 10 69.70 58.90 0.00 23.30 2721.5
7 11 78.50 59.70 0.00 28.10 2749.6
7 12 77.20 58.50 0.00 26.85 2776.5
7 13 83.20 59.70 0.00 30.45 2806.9 Vx
7 14 90.00 53.50 0.00 30.75 2837.7 Vx
7 15 81.40 59.30 0.00 29.35 2867.0 Vx
7 16 83.60 60.60 0.00 31.10 2898.1 Vx
7 17 88.10 60.00 0.00 33.05 2931.2 Vx
7 18 80.80 62.40 0.00 30.60 2961.8 Vx
7 19 79.50 61.60 0.00 29.55 2991.3 Vx
7 20 87.70 63.10 0.00 34.40 3025.7 Vx
7 21 95.00 56.50 0.00 34.75 3060.5 Vx Last trap catch - all locations
7 22 82.60 64.30 0.00 32.45 3092.9 Vx Vn
7 23 85.20 58.50 0.00 30.85 3123.8
7 24 90.20 55.10 0.00 31.65 3155.4 Vx
7 25 96.70 60.10 0.00 37.40 3192.8 Vx
7 26 95.60 72.90 0.00 43.25 3236.1 Vx
7 27 96.60 70.00 0.00 42.30 3278.4
7 28 99.00 66.40 0.00 41.70 3320.1
7 29 101.90 67.00 0.00 43.45 3363.5 Vx
7 30 94.80 76.30 0.00 44.55 3408.1 Vx
7 31 87.20 62.60 0.00 33.90 3442.0 Vx Vn
Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME 7-month 1910 MF24513 PRISM_rev1_4km 2012-2021
w. cherry fruit fly v2 model - Jones et al 91Location: 2016 MF24513 Burkes Wondra OR Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME | Date | DDs | Event |
| 4-30-16 | 867 | First trap catch - Hood River |
| 5-3-16 | 946 | First trap catch - Mosier |
| 5-6-16 | 1014 | First trap catch - The Dalles |
| 5-7-16 | 1042 | First trap catch - ID and Milton-Freewater |
| 5-8-16 | 1067 | First trap catch - WA |
| 6-4-16 | 1684 | 50% trap catch - all locations |
| 7-21-16 | 3060 | Last trap catch - all locations |
![degree-day graph of w. cherry fruit fly v2 [cherry E. of Cascades] Jones et al 91](/cgi-bin/ddplotj.pl?1622801)
