Areawide Codling Moth:
Extending the principles and lessons learned
outside the project and to other commodities

Len Coop, Marcos Kogan, and Waheed Bajwa
Integrated Plant Protection Center
Cordley 2040
Oregon State University
Corvallis, Oregon

Washington Horticultural Association
95th Annual Meeting Dec. 8, 1999, Wenatchee, WA
[note: this online document pending publication in WHA Proceedings]

Introduction
The concept of “areawide control” has a long history from initial quarantine eradication programs up to the current USDA-sponsored “areawide IPM” (Integrated Pest Management) projects. This “areawide control” concept generally means that a specific “key pest” is targeted throughout a defined region, on all managed and unmanaged (e. g. homeowners) property. The USDA-sponsored Codling Moth Areawide Management Program (CAMP) has just completed five seasons in five initial pome-fruit growing regions located in Washington, Oregon and California. At this time, with regard to program evaluation, we can ask questions like “What factors contribute to a successful areawide IPM implementation program?”, “How well did it work with CAMP?”, “Will the knowledge and methods of pest management that were developed continue to expand to more growers?”, and “Can any insights and successes be applied to other regions and for other commodities? While these questions may be difficult to answer, we will make some effort to address them here.

Areawide Control/Suppression
The Areawide IPM Codling moth program was the first of four such 5-year programs supported on a large scale by the USDA (Table 1). The concept of “areawide IPM” is actually a synthesis of two long standing approaches to pest control (Kogan 1995). The first, “areawide suppression and eradication”, was developed by the USDA under supervision of E. F. Knipling, from experience and theory relating to “genetic control” technologies, and has principally been successful against invasive, non-native species (Knipling 1979). Nearly all of such programs to date shared the characteristics that large contiguous areas were managed, participation was mandatory for growers within a program region, and that eradication or suppression of usually a single species was the objective. Since 1968, a large program in cotton in southern California has attempted eradication and IPM of pink bollworm and cotton pests. Similarly, the boll weevil eradication program in many of the cotton growing states was started in 1977. The red imported fire ant now occupies over 275 million acres in the US, making this eradication project an example of a complete failure, in part due to a reliance on chemicals for control. The screwworm eradication program, based on sterile insect releases (SIR), has been a major success, with ongoing efforts to eradicate the flies from Central America after successes in the southern US (1966) and Mexico (1991). Ongoing eradication programs in the US include boll weevil and witchweed (USDA-APHIS 1999). The concepts of “pest eradication” and “genetic control” have historically occupied a small niche in the overall theory and practice of pest management (Metcalf and Luckman 1994).

Table 1. Current 5-year areawide IPM programs funded by USDA:
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
System		Region	      1st year  Target Pest         Main Tactic(s)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Apple & pear    WA, OR, CA	1995	Codling moth        Mating disruption, SIR
Corn		Midwest		1996	Corn rootworm	    Bait and kill
Rangeland	MT, WY, SD, ND	1997	Leafy spurge weed   Flea beetle biocontrol
Stored grain	KS, OK		1997	Stored grain pests  Sanitation, early aeration
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Source: USDA/ARS reports
Nov 1999 Yakima, WA.

IPM and Areawide IPM
IPM attempts to integrate and harmonize all control methods to provide the least damage to the environment while supporting the growers’ need to remain competitive. With the understanding that eradication of native or well established species may be an unreasonable if not impossible objective, many large scale, IPM-based programs have been supported by USDA since the 1970's. These programs, which usually included a regional (but not necessarily contiguous-area) focus for implementation, depended upon growers to participate voluntarily and to make their own pest control decisions. In Oregon alone, there have been USDA-sponsored IPM implementation projects targeting snap beans, peppermint, filberts, and seed crops during the 1970's and 1980's. Although these USDA IPM programs were terminated, the need to address IPM implementation from a broad, regional perspective has remained. The areawide codling moth IPM program was conceived as a synthesis of the areawide suppression and IPM programs (Kogan 1994). This “areawide IPM” approach includes both a major emphasis placed on the key pest(s), while accepting that IPM must be an integrated systems approach to pest management, also dealing with secondary pests. By key pest, we mean a pest that nearly always causes economic damage if left unchecked. By secondary pest, we mean a pest that normally does not cause economic damage unless naturally occuring biological control is disrupted by pesticides. Today we have many alternatives to conventional pesticides, which are in general much more “selective” to the target organism, and are much “softer” on the environment. In the absence of selective controls for the key pest, secondary pests can become greater economic pest problems than are the key pests. This situation is well known in pear, for example, where a few low cost sprays for codling moth can cause secondary outbreaks of pear psylla and spider mites, which then require much more expensive treatments, whereas they should otherwise be adequately controlled by their predators in the orchard.

The areawide IPM concept has been proposed as a synthesis between areawide suppression and classical IPM. The case for an areawide IPM approach arises if 1) the key pest(s) may be adequately controlled using selective, non-disruptive, or “soft” methods, 2) a regional, contiguous area, rather than local, implementation would benefit effectiveness of such selective pest control tactic(s), and 3) Adequate incentives exist for growers to cooperate on at least some aspects of pest sampling and decision making, such as by sharing monitoring data and adopting standard control guidelines. Examples of selective tactics that benefit from an areawide approach include mass releases of sterile insects or biological control agents, destruction of non-crop alternate hosts and refugia, mating disruption using pheromone saturation, and combinations of such tactics (Kogan 1995).

The Areawide Codling Moth Program - a model for success?
The factors that may have contributed to the general success of the CAMP have been addressed widely at this conference and as outlined in the original conceptual plan (Kogan 1994). Some of these factors are listed in Table 2.

Table 2. Factors contributing to the success of the areawide codling moth program, 1995-1999.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1. Wide availability of an effective new technology (mating disruption) that 
has major benefits resulting from a regional approach to implementation.
2. A well organized, coordinated approach with full support of growers, the tree 
fruit industry, USDA administration and researchers, and University research
and extension personnel.
3. Decision making by both program coordinators and individual growers.
4. Incentives for grower participation in the form of limited subsidies and 
monitoring and managerial support.
5. Availability of other selective controls for outbreaks of secondary and 
minor pests [with some exceptions].
6. Involvement of applied researchers able to provide technical support and 
adapt quickly to changing conditions.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

We will refer to these characteristics as a desireable model for other potential areawide programs later on.

The Growth Curve - Populations and Adoption of New Technologies
We now take a look at the adoption rate of mating disruption and whether this rate may have been impacted by the CAMP program. A fundamental trend significant to both population growth and to the adoption of new technologies is the cumulative normal or “logistic growth” curve (Fig. 1). Unchecked populations, such as the codling moth (or even humans), for example, tend to struggle at very low levels (Fig. 1; Region A) until an exponential (or logarithmic) phase of growth (Region B) is achieved. The leveling off phase (Region C), occurs only when resources become scarce, such as when the apple crop is nearly 100% infested by codling moth. The reason why mating disruption has been successful, is that as long as insecticides or other controls are used initially to kill off, say, 90% of the population, then the remaining low levels are controlled because the pheromone prevents the males from finding the last few females. This explains why some of the more isolated areawide regions have reported a 98+% reduction in total codling moth trap catch from 1995 to 1999 [e. g. Howard Flat and Oroville, as presented Nov 18-19, Yakima areawide codling meetings]. Given that codling moth has limited ability to migrate significant distances, brief local extinctions are possible. However, complete eradication of codling moth from a large region is beyond the funding and logistical capacity of the CAMP program.




Figure 1. The growth curve, used to describe both the growth of populations and the adoption of new technologies.

In British Columbia, Canada, where sterile insect release (SIR), mating disruption, and other tactics were used to attempt codling moth eradication, that goal was recently determined to be unrealistic and has been replaced with the goal of taking an IPM approach. But as mating disruption has been successful for low level population control, and large contiguous areas are treated, then codling moth can be considered to be “controlled” below economically damaging levels from an areawide or regional perspective.

The same curve in Fig. 1 also applies to the adoption of new technologies, and can be used to describe the benefits of the areawide IPM approach. The level of adoption of mating disruption for codling moth in Washington was less than 1% in 1991. With the extra support and publicity provided through the (CAMP) program, including a full time extension specialist for two years, adoption in Washington rose to 15% in 1996 and to 30-35% in 1999, for all apple and pear acreage (Table 3).


Table 3. Adoption of codling moth mating disruption by apple and pear growers in CAMP programs and in Washington State.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
                Areawide only	Total use of mating disruption - WA
	Year	acresa 		acres		% of total acreage
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
	1991	-		1,500 		0.8%
	1995	3,000		18,000		9%
	1996 	3,000		25,000		15%
	1999	20,000		75,000		30-35%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
 a including acres in WA, OR, and CA
Sources: Gut et al. 1996; Areawide reports, Yakima 1999.

We cannot know what this growth would have been without the CAMP program, but we can review the benefits and incentives provided by the program (Table 2) and examine available measures of satisfaction of the growers who subscribed (below). Also, 1999 estimates of mating disruption adoption in Hood River, where no CAMP site was established, are at 15%. Now, consider the fundamental shift required to move from Region A to B in Figure 1. That is, there is a critical inflection point releasing an increasing population from slow or “lag” to fast or “exponential” growth. This shift occurred during the CAMP program, and should be considered as the time period to target for other areawide IPM programs. This release point in the growth curve reflects the idea made earlier that available selective or soft controls were available for widespread deployment. The other main characteristics of the CAMP program that we should look for in order to extend the areawide concept to other commodities were listed in Table 2. These can be generalized as requirements to look for in other candidate systems, with the additional trait that growers now gain confidence by knowing about the CAMP example. Another general characteristic that is true in pome fruits is a non-zero tolerance for pest damage. Crops that have a zero tolerance have almost no room for a shift to a selective or soft approach, unless, perhaps, eradication is a feasible option.

Example measures of success of the CAMP program
Reductions in codling moth trap catch, use of insecticides, and codling moth damage, a favorable economic report, and relatively few significant secondary pest outbreaks all help to measure success of the program (all documented elsewhere in CAMP). In addition, we can cite a few results from informal one-page grower surveys that were issued at the end of each season to the five original CAMP sites (Coop 1999). One question in the survey was “would you recommend mating disruption to other growers”. Of those responding , 96% [1995], 97% [1996], and 100% [1997 and 1998] answered “yes” (N = 222 growers or farm managers).

On a scale of 1 to 5, the satisfaction with various aspects of the project were scored by growers, with 1=”not at all satisfied”, 2=”not very satisfied”, 3=”somewhat satisfied”, 4=”mostly satisfied”, and 5=”very satisfied”. Satisfaction regarding codling moth control within the CAMP program averaged 4.7 overall, and increased from an average of 4.3 after 1995 to 4.8 after 1998 (Fig. 2). This can be compared with “satisfaction regarding codling moth control not under areawide control, which averaged 3.1 overall (Coop 1999).




Figure 2. Overall satisfaction ratings for the areawide program regarding codling moth control, 1995-1998.

Other positive measures of the CAMP program included the compatibility of insecticides with mating disruption (avg 4.5), the technical support provided (avg 4.7), and decision making information provided for the program (avg 4.6) (Coop 1999). Other items surveyed that were not as highly ranked were the success of controlling pests other than codling moth (avg 3.5), the ease of application of mating disruption dispensers (avg 3.8), and cost of mating disruption (avg 3.1).

Benefits of the Codling Moth Areawide Program to other commodities
We have touched on several benefits of the program to agriculture in the Pacific Northwest, and we can report on some detail concerning electronic dissemination of decision making support, as developed by the Integrated Plant Protection Center (IPPC) at http://ippc.orst.edu. First, the CAMP program helped stimulate development of DIR, the Database of IPM Resouces (Bajwa 1996). This website serves as a complete directory of IPM web resources available for all crops throughout the world. Currently it contains over 4,700 records, and is continually updated. For example, searches for the terms “apple” and “codling moth” result in 134 and 29 links, respectively, to websites on those topics. Next, IPPC developed the Codling Moth Information Support System (CMISS), a comprehensive summary of all aspects concerning codling moth research regarding biology and control, with emphasis on mating disruption and literature knowledgebases (Bajwa 1997). Finally, there is the “Online weather data and phenology modeling website” (Coop 1998). At this site, daily temperature and precipitation data are gathered from 102 publicly available weather stations and linked directly to pest phenology models for codling moth, OBLR, Pandemis, San Jose scale, fireblight, scab, cherry fruit fly, and 13 other models. Example output from the codling moth model is given in Fig. 3.



Figure 3. Example online graphics output for codling moth degree-day modeling tool, available from http://osu.orst.edu/dept/wea.


These websites provide decision making support to growers, field advisors, extension personnel, and researchers, for all areas of pest management throughout the Pacific Northwest and beyond.


Conclusions
The areawide codling moth program has demonstrated success by several criteria: grower satisfaction, an accelerating rate of adoption of mating disruption, and a fundamental shift from “hard” chemical programs towards “soft” IPM. Some problems remain concerning mating disruption costs and ease of dispensor applications, local problems with secondary pests, and the need for greater sampling efforts to track pest activities. Codling moth areawide IPM is serving as a successful model of a large scale, regional cooperative IPM program, which should help promote the areawide IPM concept to other cropping systems. However, adoption of codling moth mating disruption is not complete - after 5 years the stated goal of 80% reduction in insecticides (Kogan 1994) has not yet been reached. A number of open questions are relevant to development of further areawide IPM programs:

- Are producers open to the level of cooperation that is needed for successful implementation of areawide IPM?
- Should government agencies regulate or otherwise help enforce adoption of areawide IPM?
- After 5 years we have only four major areawide IPM programs: will resource limitations remain a fundamental constraint to implementing more programs?
- What criteria should be used to identify target systems for future areawide IPM programs?

In regard to the latter question, a good starting place would be to review characteristics of the situation in pome fruits. Candidates for areawide IPM tend to be high-value crops with a low number of key pests. Control of the key pests should be possible with soft management methods, especially when efficacy increases with the scale of implementation. As the key pest is suppressed, natural control of secondary pests can become the standard, albeit with an increased need for monitoring, decision, and soft management tools to manage occasional outbreaks.

In addition there should be a commodity group, with sufficient organization and support to sponsor a regional effort. There should be compelling reasons for growers to adopt the new technologies, caused by a change in tactics available (such as removal of products from the market), their failure (such as chemical control failures due to resistance development), or by incentives provided to adopt the new technologies (such as through subsidies). It is important that there exists a core of innovative growers ready to adopt the new technologies. There may be market incentives to reward early adopters.

Finally, with a shift from traditional chemical pest control to “soft” programs, what the neighbors do affects us much more directly. Soft and selective programs depend on biological control to suppress secondary pests, which requires a healthy degree of uncontaminated habitat and perhaps, stewardship of alternative foods and host plants for natural enemies. Therefore, with successful IPM, over the next 10-20 years, the concept of landscape management will become a fundamental issue in crop production.

References Cited
Bajwa, W. 1996. Database of IPM Resources (DIR): an interactive information retrieval and referral system for internet IPM information. Integrated Plant Protection Center website. Oregon State University website at <http://ippc.orst.edu/dir>.

Bajwa, W. 1997. Codling Moth Information Support System (CMISS): A composite of knowledge-bases,and informational and bibliographic databases on different aspects of codling moth taxonomy, biology, ecology, modeling and management. Integrated Plant Protection Center website. Oregon State University website at <http://ippc.orst.edu/codlingmoth>.

Coop, L. B. 1998. Online IPM weather data and degree-days for pest management decision making in the Pacific Northwest. Integrated Plant Protection Center website. Oregon State University website at <http://ippc.orst.edu/dept/ippc/wea>.

Coop, L. B. 1999. II. Program Evaluation - 1 page grower survey 1995-1998. IPPC Report to the Area Wide Codling Moth Project - 1999. Oregon State University website at <http://ippc.orst.edu/IPMsurvey/camp/campsurvrpt99.html>.

Gut,L. J., J. G. Brunner and A. Knight. 1996. Implementation of Pheromone-based Pest Management Programs in Washington. Washington State University website at <http://www.tfrec.wsu.edu/staff/jfb/growerarticles/implementcmmd.html>.

Knipling, E. F. 1979. The basic principles of insect population suppression and management. USDA Agricultural Handbook 512. 659 pp.

Kogan, M. [ed.] 1994. Areawide Management of the Codling Moth: Implementation of a Comprehensive IPM Program for Pome Fruit Crops in the Western U.S. Integrated Plant Protection Center, Oregon State University. 159 pp.

Kogan, M. 1995. Areawide Management of major pests: Is the concept applicable to the Bemisia complex? Bemisia 1995: Taxonomy, Biology, Damage Control and Management. Intercept Ltd. Andover UK. pp. 643-657.

Metcalf, R. L., and W. H. Luckmann. 1994. Introduction to Insect Pest Management. Third Ed. Wiley Interscience. NY. 577 pp.

UAES. 1999. Red Imported Fire Ant Home Page. Univ. Arkansas. Ext. Service website at <http://www.uaex.edu/natural/fireant/firehome.htm>.

USDA-APHIS. 1999. Various website articles at <http://www.aphis.usda.gov>.